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Expected Value
High School
Definition
Expected value (mean) is the probability-weighted average of all possible values. It represents the long-run average.
Formulas
E[X] = ∑ᵢ xᵢ · P(X = xᵢ)
Expected value (discrete)
E[X] = ∈t_-∈fty^∈fty x · f(x) dx
Expected value (continuous)
E[aX + b] = aE[X] + b
Linearity of expectation
Examples
Example 1
Find the expected value when rolling a die.
Example 2
A lottery wins $1000 with P=1/1000, else $0. Find E[X].
Applications
Insurance
Premium calculation
Investment
Expected return calculation
Game Theory
Strategy evaluation
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